Tuesday, November 29, 2022

NFL Week 12 betting preview: QB carousels, bonus football in spotlight


Our buddies to the south are celebrating their Thanksgiving this week, which implies bonus football for all followers throughout the globe.

With no groups having a Week 12 bye we’ve bought a full 16-game slate starting with a triple-header on Thursday with a number of matchups this week that includes a swap at quarterback.

Week 11 noticed a little bit of a reversal of traits with favourites towards the unfold (ATS) and overs each going 8-6. Can we count on extra high-scoring video games this week, or will it revert again to unders and underdogs ruling the roost?

Right here’s a have a look at the complete Week 12 board with betting traces, totals, tidbits, and picks.

U.S. THANKSGIVING TRIPLE-HEADER

Buffalo Payments (-9.5) at Detroit Lions (+9.5) | Over/Beneath: 54.5
New York Giants (+10.0) at Dallas Cowboys (-10.0) | Over/Beneath: 45.5
New England Patriots (+2.5) at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5

Payments-Lions has the week’s excessive complete at 54.5. Buffalo, Detroit and Kansas Metropolis are the one groups thus far this season which have 5 video games in which they’ve scored 30 or extra factors. Detroit is 7-3 on overs this season, whereas Buffalo is a 3-7 overs group.

The Cowboys have lined the unfold in 9 of their previous 11 encounters with the division rival Giants. Dak Prescott has received 9 consecutive begins towards the G-men and Dallas has scored at the least 35 factors in 5 of Prescott’s previous six begins towards them relationship again to 2018. Dallas has some key defenders on the damage report this week.

Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is 0-2 lifetime towards the Patriots, 3-5 general when enjoying on Thursdays, and 10-18 in his profession in late video games.

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SUNDAY/MONDAY SPREADS & TOTALS

Denver Broncos (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers (+2.5) | Over/Beneath: 36.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns (+3.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
Baltimore Ravens (-4.0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+4.0) | Over/Beneath: 43.5
Houston Texans (+13.5) at Miami Dolphins (-13.5) | Over/Beneath: 46.5
Chicago Bears (+6.0) at New York Jets (-6.0) | Over/Beneath: 38.5
Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) at Tennessee Titans (+2.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
Atlanta Falcons (+4.0) at Washington Commanders (-4.0) | Over/Beneath: 41.5
Los Angeles Chargers (-4.0) at Arizona Cardinals (+4.0) | Over/Beneath: 48.5
Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) | Over/Beneath: 47.5
Los Angeles Rams (+15.5) at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-15.5) | Over/Beneath: 43.5
New Orleans Saints (+9.5) at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
Inexperienced Bay Packers (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) | Over/Beneath: 46.5
Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) | Over/Beneath: 39.5

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Sam Darnold has been named Carolina’s starter towards Denver in the sport with the bottom complete of the week. Darnold is 17-33 in his profession, went 4-7 with the Panthers in 2021 and hasn’t performed since final season’s regular-season finale. Denver is an NFL-best 9-1 on unders this season; the Panthers are 7-4 on unders this 12 months.

The Browns host the Bucs in the group’s closing sport earlier than Deshaun Watson’s suspension ends. Tom Brady is 7-1 in his profession when enjoying the Browns. Cleveland is 4-6 ATS; Tampa Bay is 3-6-1 ATS this season.

Jacksonville has lined the unfold in 5 of their previous six conferences towards Baltimore. The Jags are recognizing the Ravens greater than a discipline objective, however the Ravens are 3-1 ATS when street favourites this season.

Miami is coming off a bye and are two-score favourites over Houston. The chalk has lined in every of the previous 5 instances the Dolphins and Texans have met. Additionally, the house group is on a 4-0 ATS streak. Miami is 2-1 ATS as a house favorite and 4-1 straight up at dwelling this season.

Zach Wilson, regardless of his 5-2 report this season, will trip the bench at dwelling towards the Bears. This implies Mike White is the Jets starter with Joe Flacco the backup. Regardless of the QB controversy, the Jets stay the favourites over a Bears group possible with out Justin Fields who’s coping with an injured shoulder. This sport has seen probably the most line fluctuation this week.

The Titans (8-2 ATS) and Bengals (7-3 ATS) are two of the most effective ATS groups in the NFL. Cincy, who eradicated Tennessee from the playoffs final season, ranks first in purple zone landing scoring charge and the Titans are second in that class.

The Commanders are on a 5-0-1 streak ATS and will get Chase Younger again this week at dwelling, nonetheless the street group has lined in 5 straight conferences between Washington and Atlanta.

Kyler Murray is predicted to return to behind centre for Arizona this week after lacking the previous two video games nursing a hamstring damage. Chargers overs are on a 9-2 streak following a loss.

The Raiders, regardless of being simply 3-7 general, are 4-1 ATS this 12 months when enjoying groups with a profitable report. The 6-4 Seahawks had a four-game profitable streak snapped final week in Germany towards the Bucs.

The Chiefs and Rams haven’t met since their high-scoring basic 4 years in the past – a back-and-forth thriller the Rams received 54-51. Kansas Metropolis ranks first factors per sport (30.0) and in yards per sport (429.3) this season, whereas the Rams rank twenty ninth (16.8) in scoring and thirtieth in yards (288.0).

The Saints and 49ers have alternated wins and losses towards each other over the previous half dozen conferences relationship again to 2012 with New Orleans profitable their most up-to-date encounter in 2020. New Orleans is 0-2 ATS as a street underdog this 12 months.

Philly has been favoured in all 10 of their matchups and is 5-5 ATS; Inexperienced Bay is 3-1 ATS as a street canine.

The Colts and Steelers are a mixed 15-6 on unders this season. Pittsburgh has lined 5 of their previous six conferences versus Indianapolis however the dwelling group has lined in six of the previous seven in this matchup, so one thing’s gotta give.

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MIKEY J’S CARD…

(Every week all through the common season I’ll be sharing some picks for the Sunday/Monday slate and can observe my report, so you possibly can observe or fade responsibly all season lengthy. 2022 general report to this point: 78-94-4)

Favourites ATS (17-20-1): Broncos -2.5, Colts -2.5, Buccaneers -3.5, Seahawks -3.5, Chargers -4.0, Eagles -6.5, Dolphins -13.5

Underdogs ATS (24-19-3): Patriots +2.5, Titans +2.5, Jaguars +4.0

Overs (6-18): LAC/ARI 48.5, NO/SF 42.5, WAS/ATL 41.5

Unders (18-23): BUF/DET 54.5, LV/SEA 47.5, CHI/NYJ 38.5

Moneyline canines (14-16): Patriots, Titans

(Listed odds above by way of Covers as of Wednesday night and topic to vary)

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